Analysis and projection of each June 6 Super Regional

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The 2025 NCAA Baseball Tournament has delivered its usual blend of drama, upsets, and powerhouse performances, setting the stage for a captivating Super Regional round. With the Louisville, Corvallis, Chapel Hill, and Auburn Super Regionals on tap, four teams will emerge to advance to the College World Series (CWS) in Omaha, competing in the same bracket for a shot at collegiate baseball’s ultimate prize69. Here’s a comprehensive grounded in 2025 season statistics and regional performances.


Louisville Super Regional

Regional Recap & Team Form

Louisville enters the Super Regional on a hot streak, having swept the Nashville Regional. The Cardinals showcased dominant pitching and timely hitting, outscoring their three opponents 17-5. Freshman left-hander Ethan Eberle’s standout 6 1/3 scoreless innings in the regional final against Wright State was emblematic of Louisville’s pitching depth and poise under pressure. Offensively, Eddie King Jr. has been a catalyst, delivering crucial hits at key moments8.

Their opponent, determined after the Southern Miss/Miami matchup, will face a Louisville team that has been battle-tested all season, especially down the stretch. The Cardinals’ last Super Regional appearance was in 2022, and their experience under coach Dan McDonnell is a significant asset8.

Statistical Strengths

  • Pitching: Louisville’s staff has been among the nation’s best in ERA and strikeouts, with a bullpen that has consistently shut the door in late innings.
  • Offense: The lineup is deep, with multiple hitters capable of changing the game with one swing. The Cardinals’ ability to manufacture runs and hit for power makes them a balanced threat.

Projection

Louisville’s combination of pitching depth, postseason experience, and home-field advantage positions them as the favorite to advance. Their ability to control games on the mound and deliver in clutch situations should carry Louisville past their Super Regional opponent and into Omaha8.


Corvallis Super Regional

Regional Recap & Team Form

Oregon State survived a tough regional and now hosts the Corvallis Super Regional. The Beavers have leaned on a formidable pitching staff and a lineup anchored by MLB prospect Aiva Arquette. Their regional path was not easy, but Oregon State’s ability to win close games and their postseason pedigree are undeniable4.

Their likely opponent, Florida State, emerged from a challenging regional as well. The Seminoles’ offense has been potent, but questions remain about their pitching depth against elite competition4.

Statistical Strengths

  • Oregon State: The Beavers boast one of the lowest team ERAs in the country and have a knack for timely hitting. Their defense is also among the most reliable in the nation.
  • Florida State: The Seminoles’ offense is explosive, but their pitching has been inconsistent in high-leverage situations.

Projection

In a classic West Coast vs. East Coast showdown, Oregon State’s pitching and home-field advantage give them the edge. Expect the Beavers to contain Florida State’s bats just enough to take the series and return to Omaha4.


Chapel Hill Super Regional

Regional Recap & Team Form

North Carolina advanced through a competitive regional, demonstrating resilience and depth. The Tar Heels’ offense, led by a mix of veterans and breakout stars, has been consistent, while their pitching staff has delivered quality starts throughout the postseason. Their regional featured tough opponents like Oklahoma and Nebraska, but UNC’s ability to win tight games stood out48.

Arizona, their Super Regional opponent, arrives after a gritty regional run of their own. The Wildcats’ offense has been streaky but dangerous, and they have a history of postseason success.

Statistical Strengths

  • North Carolina: The Tar Heels excel at getting on base and putting pressure on opposing pitchers. Their bullpen has been a strength, often shutting down rallies late in games.
  • Arizona: The Wildcats can score in bunches but have struggled at times with pitching depth and consistency.

Projection

North Carolina’s consistency, home-field advantage, and bullpen reliability make them the pick to advance. The Tar Heels’ ability to execute in close games should see them through to Omaha8.


Auburn Super Regional

Regional Recap & Team Form

Auburn, the No. 4 national seed, has lived up to expectations, powering through their regional with strong pitching and timely hitting. The Tigers’ offense, led by several All-SEC performers, has been relentless, while their pitching staff has shown the ability to neutralize top lineups7.

Their opponent, yet to be finalized, will face a daunting task at Plainsman Park, where Auburn has been nearly unbeatable this season.

Statistical Strengths

  • Auburn: The Tigers’ offense ranks among the nation’s best in runs scored and home runs. Their pitching staff, anchored by a dominant ace and a deep bullpen, is built for postseason play.
  • Opponent: Depending on the matchup, Auburn’s opponent may bring a hot hand from regional play but will be tested by the Tigers’ depth and home crowd.

Projection

Auburn’s combination of offensive firepower and pitching depth, coupled with their home-field advantage, should propel them to the College World Series. The Tigers look poised to make a deep run in Omaha7.


Projected College World Series Bracket (Omaha)

The champions of the Louisville, Corvallis, Chapel Hill, and Auburn Super Regionals will advance to the College World Series in Omaha, competing in the same bracket. This sets up a compelling group of teams, each with a legitimate shot at a national title69.

Super RegionalProjected WinnerKey Strengths
LouisvilleLouisvillePitching depth, balanced offense
CorvallisOregon StateElite pitching, postseason poise
Chapel HillNorth CarolinaBullpen, situational hitting
AuburnAuburnPower offense, home dominance

Key Players to Watch

  • Louisville: Ethan Eberle (LHP), Eddie King Jr. (OF)
  • Oregon State: Aiva Arquette (SS), Jamie Arnold (LHP)
  • North Carolina: Veteran infielders, shutdown bullpen arms
  • Auburn: All-SEC hitters, dominant ace

What to Expect in Omaha

With these four teams projected to advance, the Omaha bracket will feature a blend of pitching prowess, offensive firepower, and postseason experience. Louisville and Oregon State bring elite pitching, North Carolina’s bullpen is built for tight games, and Auburn’s offense can change the game in an instant. The matchups promise high drama and competitive baseball, with any of the four capable of making a run to the championship series.


“There’s no clear-cut favorite to win it all … let the chaos begin!”
— Chris Burke, ESPN College Baseball Analyst3


Sources

  • [Baseball America: 2025 NCAA Baseball Tournament Super Regionals Predictions]1
  • [ESPN: NCAA baseball regionals—Who has the best chances to go to Omaha?]3
  • [NCAA.com: NCAA baseball tournament predictions, through the Men’s College World Series]4
  • [D1Baseball: Louisville advances to Super Regionals]8
  • [NCAA.com: 2025 NCAA baseball bracket, schedule]6
  • [Sporting News: NCAA baseball super regionals bracket]9

  1. https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/2025-ncaa-baseball-tournament-super-regionals-predictions-more-college-baseball-podcast/
  2. https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6398923/2025/06/03/ncaa-baseball-super-regionals-schedule-3/
  3. https://www.espn.com/college-sports/story/_/id/45344847/college-baseball-regionals-2025-ncaa-tournament-mcws-paths-roundtable-experts
  4. https://www.ncaa.com/news/baseball/article/2025-05-27/ncaa-baseball-tournament-predictions-through-mens-college-world-series
  5. https://www.reddit.com/r/collegebaseball/comments/1l32nwh/the_2025_college_baseballball_super_regionals/
  6. https://www.ncaa.com/news/baseball/article/2025-06-03/2025-ncaa-baseball-bracket-mens-college-world-series-scores-schedule
  7. https://www.reddit.com/r/collegebaseball/comments/1l3h5vg/the_comprehensive_analysis_and_predictions_for/
  8. https://d1baseball.com/favorite-teams/page/3/
  9. https://www.sportingnews.com/us/college/news/ncaa-baseball-super-regional-bracket-schedule-scores-channels-2025/e914dbd96ea66f88d61b0e46

AI Disclaimer


Note: This blog post was generated with the assistance of artificial intelligence, referencing reputable sources and expert commentary. For direct links to sources and further reading, consult the official NCAA and Division 1 Baseball websites.