Analysis and projection of each Super Regional beginning June 7

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The 2025 NCAA Baseball Tournament has delivered drama, upsets, and breakout performances, setting up an electric Super Regional round. Four of the most compelling Super Regionals—Los Angeles, Durham, Baton Rouge, and Fayetteville—will determine which teams advance to the College World Series (CWS) in Omaha, where they’ll compete in the same bracket for a shot at college baseball glory8 7. This analysis examines each matchup using 2025 season stats and regional performances, projecting the likely winners and their prospects in Omaha.

Los Angeles Super Regional: UTSA vs. UCLA

Team Overviews

UTSA Roadrunners
- Offense: Ranks seventh nationally in runs scored, with a .428 on-base percentage (10th in the country)1.
- Regional performance: Scored at least seven runs in each of their three Austin Regional games, knocking off higher-seeded Texas.
- Weakness: Pitching staff ERA hovers between 4.50 and 5.00, relying heavily on offense to outslug opponents1.
UCLA Bruins
- Offense: Led the Big Ten in scoring by a wide margin, scoring 38 runs in three games during the Los Angeles Regional1.
- Key players: Roch Cholowsky (Big Ten Player of the Year) and Roman Martin (multiple home runs in regionals).
- Strength: Take control of games early and deep lineup production1.

Analysis & Projection

Both teams boast elite offenses, but UCLA’s combination of power hitting and home-field advantage gives them the edge. UTSA’s pitching vulnerability is likely to be exposed by a Bruins lineup that thrives on early momentum and has more depth in the rotation. The Bruins’ ability to limit big innings and capitalize with runners on base should help them outpace the Roadrunners in a high-scoring series.

Projected Winner: UCLA Bruins advance to Omaha1 2.

Durham Super Regional: Murray State vs. Duke

Team Overviews

Murray State Racers
- Surprise factor: Pulled off upsets in the regional round, including a win over regional host1.
- Season: Played above expectations, but lacks the depth and experience of power conference opponents.
Duke Blue Devils
- Regional performance: Advanced through a competitive Athens Regional, showing resilience and timely hitting2.
- Strength: Deep bullpen and strong infield defense.

Analysis & Projection

Murray State’s Cinderella run has been impressive, but Duke’s combination of pitching depth, defensive reliability, and battle-tested lineup should prove too much. The Blue Devils’ ability to manufacture runs and shut down rallies late in games gives them a significant advantage.

Projected Winner: Duke Blue Devils advance to Omaha2.

Baton Rouge Super Regional: West Virginia vs. LSU

Team Overviews

West Virginia Mountaineers
- Regional performance: Survived a tough Clemson Regional, demonstrating grit and timely hitting2.
- Key factor: Aggressive baserunning and opportunistic offense.
LSU Tigers
- Season: Entered as the No. 6 national seed, boasting one of the most talented rosters in the country7.
- Regional performance: Won the Baton Rouge Regional, showing off both power and pitching depth.
- Strength: Deep lineup with multiple MLB prospects, strong starting rotation, and home-field advantage.

Analysis & Projection

LSU’s postseason pedigree, home-field advantage, and superior roster depth make them heavy favorites. West Virginia’s aggressive style could keep games close, but LSU’s ability to hit for power and shut down opposing offenses late should propel them to victory.

Projected Winner: LSU Tigers advance to Omaha7 2.

Fayetteville Super Regional: Tennessee vs. Arkansas

Team Overviews

Tennessee Volunteers
- Seed: No. 14 national seed, reigning national champions, loaded with professional talent1 3.
- Regional performance: Survived a competitive Knoxville Regional, showing resilience and clutch hitting.
Arkansas Razorbacks
- Seed: No. 3 national seed, one of the most consistent teams all season1 7.
- Regional performance: Advanced through the Fayetteville Regional, relying on dominant pitching and timely home runs.
- Key players: Deep pitching staff and a balanced lineup.

Analysis & Projection

This all-SEC showdown is arguably the most anticipated Super Regional. Arkansas has home-field advantage and a slightly deeper pitching staff, but Tennessee’s experience, power hitting, and ability to win close games cannot be overlooked. The series could easily go three games, but Arkansas’ consistency at home and bullpen depth gives them a slight edge.

Projected Winner: Arkansas Razorbacks advance to Omaha1 76.

What Happens Next: The Omaha Bracket

The projected Super Regional champions—UCLA, Duke, LSU, and Arkansas—would all advance to the College World Series in Omaha, competing in the same bracket. This sets up a fascinating blend of SEC powerhouses (LSU, Arkansas), a surging ACC contender (Duke), and a West Coast offensive juggernaut (UCLA)8 7.

Projected Omaha Bracket Outlook

Team	Strengths	X-Factor
UCLA	Elite offense, depth	Early-game momentum
Duke	Bullpen, defense	Ability to win close games
LSU	Power, pitching depth	Home-run potential, MLB talent
Arkansas	Consistency, pitching	Home-field-like fan support

Early Omaha Prediction:
LSU and Arkansas enter as slight favorites due to their pitching depth and postseason experience, but UCLA’s offense could make them a dark horse. Duke’s pitching could keep them in tight games, but they’ll need to manufacture runs against elite arms.

Key Storylines to Watch

SEC Dominance: With LSU and Arkansas both advancing, the SEC continues to flex its muscle on the national stage3 7.
UCLA’s Offense vs. Elite Pitching: Can the Bruins’ bats stay hot against the best arms in the country?
Duke’s Underdog Run: Will Duke’s pitching and defense be enough to shock the blue bloods?
Star Power: MLB scouts will be watching closely, with multiple first-round talents on display, particularly from LSU, Arkansas, and UCLA3.

Conclusion

The 2025 NCAA Baseball Super Regionals promise high drama, elite talent, and the kind of unpredictability that makes college baseball so compelling. Based on season statistics and regional performances, look for UCLA, Duke, LSU, and Arkansas to punch their tickets to Omaha, where they’ll battle for a national championship in the same bracket. The road to Omaha is never easy, but these teams have the balance, depth, and momentum to make a run at college baseball immortality.

Disclaimer:
This post was generated with the assistance of artificial intelligence, using publicly available 2025 NCAA baseball statistics and expert analysis from reputable sources including CBS Sports, Baseball America, ESPN, and NCAA.com. Projections are based on current data and trends as of June 4, 2025, and actual results may vary. For more detailed coverage, visit the official NCAA and partner sports news sites1 2 3 7 8.